This paper estimates transition matrices for the ratings on …nancial insti-tutions, using an unusually informative data set. We show that the processof rating migration exhibits signi…cant non-Markovian behavior, in the sensethat the transition intensities are a¤ected by macroeconomic and...

This paper estimates transition matrices for the ratings on financial insti-tutions, using an unusually informative data set. We show that the process of rating migration exhibits significant non-Markovian behavior, in the sense that the transition intensities are affected by macroeconomic and...

Many central banks, particularly in the developing world, aim for exchange rate stability as a macroeconomic goal. However, most are reluctant to relinquish monetary policy autonomy, so they end up operating through both interest rate and foreign exchange interventions. But the use of multiple...

This paper analyses the effects of sterilised, intraday foreign exchange market operations (non-discretionary and discretionary) on foreign exchange returns and volatility in four inflation targeting economies in Latin America. The distribution of exchange rates during intervention and...

This paper explores the relationship between central bank independence and inflation in Latin America, using as a case study the experience of Colombia (1923-2008). Since its creation, in 1923, Colombia´s central bank has undergone several reforms that have changed its objectives and degree of...

Asset prices have recently become a common topic in economic debate. Nevertheless, much time has been spent in determining if they effectively exhibit a bubble component, and not in examining whether asset prices affectively contain relevant information concerning future market developments....

En este trabajo se utilizan tasas marginales de interés, tasas de cambio forwards y encuestassobre expectativas de devaluación con el fin de verificar las hipótesis de paridad cubierta(PC) y no cubierta (PNC) de las tasas de interés en Colombia en el período 2000-2007. Seencuentra evidencia...

Con posterioridad al año 2000 la inflación colombiana ha mostrado una declinación gradual a pesar deque la economía colombiana es relativamente abierta y su tasa de cambio está sujeta a vaivenes intensosde los flujos de capital. ¿Por qué? Podrían mencionarse varias respuestas...