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This paper presents a general test of contagion in financial markets based on bivariate correlation analysis � a test … that can be interpreted as an extension of the normal correlation theorem. Contagion is defined as a structural break in … hypothesis of 'no contagion' can be rejected only if the variance of country specific shocks is set to levels that are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005467302
This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European future Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of ?emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083257
Private and public sector sponsors of infrastructure, industrial and other commercial projects in developing countries are looking increasingly to the project finance structure to fund these operations. The World Bank has an array of financial instruments to support these projects. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005780263
The main objective of this report is to evaluate World Bank lending for small enterprises between FY89 and FY93, including both small and medium enterprises and microenterprises. There has been a marked shift in the Bank's work in this area, and this review details the nature and content of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005639100
This paper studies German bank lending during the Asian and Russian crises, using a bank level data set, which has been compiled from credit data at the Deutsche Bundesbank. Our aim is to gain more insight into the pattern of German bank lending during financial crises in emerging markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082775
shocks. We first review the different definitions and measures of contagion used in the literature. We then use a simple … multi-country asset pricing model to cast the main elements of the current debate on contagion and provide a stylized … classification, we survey the results obtained in the empirical literature on contagion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609346
Using copula methods and simulation-based inference the authors address the association between the performance of the stocks of European banks and the CDS markets. Their analysis has three purposes: (i) analysing the dependence structure of the markets when extreme events occur; (ii) checking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956052
The purpose of this study is to develop an efficient strategy for managing fixed-income portfolios in crisis periods. We use the volatility ratio model of Briere and Szafarz (2008) and the Expected Tail Loss (ETL) approach of Litzenberger and Modest (2008). Our methodology is applied to U.S. and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956076
This paper employs an Extreme Value Theory framework to investigate the existence of contagion between European and US … finding market-based indicators in order to analyze the effects of crises and to quantify the risk of contagion. The Distance … coexceedances allows to interpret significant coefficients of foreign lagged coexceedances as contagion. The main finding is that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764567
This work examines how much of the variation in emerging market economies' (EMEs) spreads can be ascribed to 'country-specific' factors rather than to 'common' factors, once the existence of an interaction between the state of macroeconomic fundamentals and global financial conditions is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196853