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This paper investigates the relationship between futures prices and financial investments in derivatives of the main agricultural commodities. We first provide a broad picture of how these markets function and how they have evolved, showing that traders who deal mostly in commodity index...
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Under the assumption of bounded rationality, economic agents learn from their past mistaken predictions by combining new and old information to form new beliefs. The purpose of this paper is to examine how the policy-maker, by affecting private agents' learning process, determines the speed at...
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The paper studies the transmission of monetary policy through its effects on the exchange rate and on long-term interest rates under different schemes of expectations formation, within the framework of the quaterly model of the Banca d'Italia (BIQM).
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