Showing 1 - 10 of 52
This paper presents a general test of contagion in financial markets based on bivariate correlation analysis � a test … that can be interpreted as an extension of the normal correlation theorem. Contagion is defined as a structural break in … hypothesis of 'no contagion' can be rejected only if the variance of country specific shocks is set to levels that are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005467302
shocks. We first review the different definitions and measures of contagion used in the literature. We then use a simple … multi-country asset pricing model to cast the main elements of the current debate on contagion and provide a stylized … classification, we survey the results obtained in the empirical literature on contagion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609346
distress and contagion are also confirmed by many recent empirical studies. By contrast, according to empirical analyses, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609360
contagion over but these measures become less effective when the shock is very large, when the situation is best addressed by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099690
contagion. Our analysis includes indicators of domestic and external imbalances which were mostly disregarded by previous … creditworthiness of a sovereign borrower (wake-up-call contagion) and behaviour not linked to fundamentals (pure contagion). We find … evidence of wake-up-call contagion but not of pure contagion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099707
More than three years since the outbreak of the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area the banking systems of several countries remain exposed to the vagaries of government bond markets. The paper analyzes the different channels through which sovereign risk affects banking risk (and vice versa),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100401
Global monetary conditions are often cited as a driver of commodity prices. This paper investigates the empirical relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in analysing the effects of monetary policy shocks. The results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654295
We model the determinants of loans to non-financial corporations in the euro area. Using the Johansen (1992) methodology, we identify three cointegrating relationships. These relationships are interpreted as the long-run loan demand, investment and loan supply equations. The short-run dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654298
This paper proposes a Bayesian regression model with time-varying coefficients (TVC) that makes it possible to estimate jointly the degree of instability and the time-path of regression coefficients. Thanks to its computational tractability, the model proves suitable to perform the first (to our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009386395
The aim of the paper is to understand the interaction between market and credit risk. Using a comprehensive set of Italian data, we apply a factor model to identify the common sources of risk driving fluctuations in the real and financial sectors. The common latent factors are then inserted in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692068