presents the analytical forecasting properties of the random coefficient exponential smoothing model in the multiple source of …

to forecast revisions. Third, we design a pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise and examine point and density …

forecasting inflation, while the BVARX model fares better in forecasting …

The forecasting profession, especially when producing forecasts intended to support economic policy, does not currently … forecasting process which is criticised, on the grounds that it prevents a proper evaluation of any information concerning changes … even dangerous, and reduced forms are suggested as a preferable alternative. Drawing on the actual forecasting experience …