Showing 1 - 8 of 8
We explore the role of expectations in second generation currency crisis models, proving that sudden shifts in speculators' beliefs can trigger currency devaluations, even without any sizable worsening in the fundamentals. In our incomplete information game, mean-preserving changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113631
The empirical work on the role of trade linkages in the transmission of economic disturbances has been limited to tests on the significance of variables of simple trade shares of partners, both bilateral and in common markets. This approach ignores additional elements deriving from the new open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113670
shocks. We first review the different definitions and measures of contagion used in the literature. We then use a simple … multi-country asset pricing model to cast the main elements of the current debate on contagion and provide a stylized … classification, we survey the results obtained in the empirical literature on contagion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609346
distress and contagion are also confirmed by many recent empirical studies. By contrast, according to empirical analyses, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609360
contagion over but these measures become less effective when the shock is very large, when the situation is best addressed by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099690
contagion. Our analysis includes indicators of domestic and external imbalances which were mostly disregarded by previous … creditworthiness of a sovereign borrower (wake-up-call contagion) and behaviour not linked to fundamentals (pure contagion). We find … evidence of wake-up-call contagion but not of pure contagion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099707
More than three years since the outbreak of the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area the banking systems of several countries remain exposed to the vagaries of government bond markets. The paper analyzes the different channels through which sovereign risk affects banking risk (and vice versa),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100401
This paper presents a general test of contagion in financial markets based on bivariate correlation analysis � a test … that can be interpreted as an extension of the normal correlation theorem. Contagion is defined as a structural break in … hypothesis of 'no contagion' can be rejected only if the variance of country specific shocks is set to levels that are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005467302