Showing 1 - 10 of 38
The paper explores the view that the Asian currency and financial crises in 1997 and 1998 reflected structural and policy distortions in the countries of the region, even though market overreaction and herding caused the plunge of exchange rates, asset prices and economic activity to be more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111544
Since the adoption of flexible exchange rates, real exchange rates have been much more volatile than they were under Bretton Woods. However, the volatilities of most other macroeconomic variables have remained approximately unchanged. This poses a puzzle for standard international business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609375
We explore the role of expectations in second generation currency crisis models, proving that sudden shifts in speculators' beliefs can trigger currency devaluations, even without any sizable worsening in the fundamentals. In our incomplete information game, mean-preserving changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671376
We explore the role of expectations in second generation currency crisis models, proving that sudden shifts in speculators' beliefs can trigger currency devaluations, even without any sizable worsening in the fundamentals. In our incomplete information game, mean-preserving changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113631
We test whether and how the adoption of the euro, narrowly defined as the end of competitive devaluations, has affected … the euro has been accompanied by a reallocation of activity within rather than across sectors. Since its adoption … restructuring more since the adoption of the euro. Restructuring has entailed a shift of business focus from production to upstream …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011988
nominal debt (the other fiscal indicator used in EMU) can reduce the scope for window dressing. Simple comparison of deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111541
Rainy Day Funds (RDFs) have an important role in the USA. They allow States � which usually have rules requiring a balanced budget for current revenue and spending � to limit procyclical fiscal policies. This paper examines the possible role of RDFs in the European fiscal framework....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609413
This paper reviews the main macroeconomic trends and the debate on policy priorities in Italy since the end of the Nineties. In the decade up to the outbreak of the global crisis (1998-2007), in Italy the reform process came to a virtual standstill; this is partly due to the fragmentation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100354
financial integration contributed to explain CA deterioration in the peripheral countries especially in the post-EMU period. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105136
model is estimated using data for the euro area and the U.S. and Bayesian methods. The analysis delivers the following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113550