Showing 1 - 10 of 44
level under the null with an associated, often very dramatic, loss of power under the alternative. We demonstrate that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113521
for the Gaussian univariate random walk plus noise model show that the bootstrap LR test achieves higher power for medium … power gains of the bootstrap LR test are significantly larger for testing the hypothesis of common trends and cointegration … power properties also for non-Gaussian series. As an empirical illustration, we find evidence of two common stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019261
Tests of parameter instabilities are likely to have low power when change-points occur towards the end of the sample …. This paper considers various modifications of existing tests and introduces new statistics designed to have high power in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099667
The paper considers tests of seasonal integration and cointegration for multivariate time series. The locally best invariant (LBI) test of the null hypothesis of a deterministic seasonal pattern against the alternative of seasonal integration is derived for a model with Gaussian i.i.d....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609344
Large and growing international financial linkages between East and West have altered the nature of the stability risks faced by European banking systems, increasing susceptibility to contagion. This paper aims to identify potential risks of cross-border contagion using a sample of large Western...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008865939
We look at business survey data on Italian internationalized firms’ characteristics and performances since the outbreak of the 2008 crisis until 2012. Among Italian firms with 20 employees or more, an increasing share (from 7.1 to 13.2% between 2006 and 2011) owns a foreign productive unit....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206250
The size and power properties of several tests of equal Mean Square Prediction Error (MSPE) and of Forecast … power advantage tends to become smaller as the prediction sample increases and for multi-step ahead predictions; in these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459745
This paper considers the problem of testing for the presence of stochastic trends in multivariate time series with structural breaks. The breakpoints are assumed to be known. The testing framework is the multivariate Locally Best Invariant test and the common trend test of Nyblom and Harvey.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005780687
This paper considers the problem of testing for the presence of stochastic trends in multivariate time series with structural breaks. The breakpoints are assumed to be known. The testing framework is the multivariate Locally Best Invariant test and the common trend test of Nyblom and Harvey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113652
Assessing the global economic outlook is a fundamentally important task of international financial institutions, governments and central banks. In this paper we focus on the consequences of the rapid growth of emerging markets for monitoring and forecasting the global outlook. Our main results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654297