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We obtain new evidence on the transmission of monetary policy to the economy by analyzing the effects of restrictive monetary policy shocks on Italian flows of funds over the period 1980-2002. Firms reduce their issuance of debt and their acquisitions of financial assets, so there is no evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005467312
-country structural VAR with no exogeneity assumption. The analysis reveals the following results. First, in response to an unexpected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005770775
relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in analysing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654295
Standard risk metrics tend to underestimate the true risks of hedge funds because of serial correlation in the reported returns. Getmansky, Lo, and Makarov(2004) derive mean, variance, Sharpe ratio, and beta formulae adjusted for serial correlation. Following their lead, we derive adjusted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364554
We study the effects of fiscal policy on macroeconomic developments in Italy over the period 1982-2010 with a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model. We include public debt and impose the government budget constraint in the estimation. In contrast with previous research we also include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009386396
This article focuses on the application of the Pykhtin model to the Italian banking system to measure concentration risk by industry sector and geographic region. The proposed approach generalizes the portfolio model used in Pillar 1 for the calculation of the capital requirement, removing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692072
This paper studies the effects of fiscal policy on private GDP, inflation and the long-term interest rate in Italy using a structural vector autoregression model. To this end, a database of quarterly cash data for selected fiscal variables for the period 1982:1-2004:4 is constructed, largely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111574
of daily data, the exposure is evaluated through a Principal Component VaR based on Monte Carlo simulation according to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113524
The prominent role assigned to money by the ECB has been the subject of an intense debate because of the declining predictive power of the monetary aggregate M3 for inflation in recent years. This paper reassesses the information content of monetary analysis for future inflation using dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980170
presents the analytical forecasting properties of the random coefficient exponential smoothing model in the multiple source of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099647