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much sharper rise in inflation than measured by the official price indices, whose quality was called into question. In this … determinants. Since these data do not rely on official inflation statistics, they provide an independent check for the latter. We … official inflation statistics. We do not find evidence in support of this hypothesis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609383
Since 2013 the inflation rate in the euro area has fallen steadily, reaching all-time lows at the end of 2014. Market …-based measures of inflation expectations (such as inflation swaps) have also declined to extremely low levels, which suggests … increasing concern about the credibility of the ECB in maintaining price stability. Inflation releases have often surprised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011207925
The paper assesses the effects of increasing competition in the service sector in Italy which, based on cross-country comparisons, is the OECD country with the highest markups in non-manufacturing industries. We propose a two-region (Italy and the rest of the euro area) dynamic general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005642129
We assess the short- and medium-term macroeconomic effects of competition-friendly reforms in the service sector when the monetary policy rate is stuck at the zero lower bound (ZLB) in a monetary union. We calibrate a large-scale multi-country multi-sector dynamic general equilibrium model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184261
A prolonged period of low inflation, particularly in a situation of monetary policy rates near the zero lower bound …, can heighten the risk of inflation expectations de-anchoring from the central bank objective. The purpose of this paper is …/realized inflation and output. To do so we consider a simple New Keynesian model where agents, rather than being endowed with rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103306
This paper proposes an index of core inflation for the euro area which exploits information from a large panel of time … component of national inflation and disregarding the idiosyncratic one, we clean inflation from measurement error, discrepancies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113620
For a class of long memory volatility models, we establish the asymptotic distribution theory of the Gaussian estimator and the Lagrange multiplier test. Both the case of estimation of martingale difference and ARMA levels are considered. A Montecarlo exercise is presented to assess the small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609388
Cointegration analysis tests for the existence of a significant long-run equilibrium among some economic variables. Standard econometric procedures to test for cointegration have proven unreliable when the long-run relation among the variables is characterized by non-linearities and persistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113597
transmission channels by which the purchases can be expected to affect economic activity and inflation. Then we assess the effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277927
In the past decade changes in oil prices have played a significant role in shaping inflation dynamics in the US and in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008626023