Showing 1 - 10 of 44
unless the perceived probability of default is too small. Nevertheless, at low ratings this relevance can be weakened by an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099640
The paper explores the view that the Asian currency and financial crises in 1997 and 1998 reflected structural and policy distortions in the countries of the region, even though market overreaction and herding caused the plunge of exchange rates, asset prices and economic activity to be more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111544
This work examines how much of the variation in emerging market economies' (EMEs) spreads can be ascribed to 'country-specific' factors rather than to 'common' factors, once the existence of an interaction between the state of macroeconomic fundamentals and global financial conditions is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196853
We investigate the impact of long term investors' demand for UK index-linked gilts on the term structure of real rates for the 1987-2012 period. This is done by carrying out a structural estimation of the preferred-habitat model of Vayanos and Vila (2009). We use data on long-term investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011098939
We develop a multivariate credit risk model for the term structures of sovereign and bank credit default swaps. First …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099683
We develop a multivariate credit risk model that accounts for joint defaults of banks and al-lows us to disentangle how much of banks' credit risk is systemic. We find that the US and UK dif-fer not only in the evolution of systemic risk, but in particular in their banks' systemic exposures. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099713
In this article, we analyse how much of the reduction in emerging markets spreads can be ascribed to specific factors - linked to the improvement in the 'fundamentals' of a given country - rather than to common factors - linked to global liquidity conditions and agents� degree of risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113674
world with liquidity crises and strategic default, we model a contracting game between international lenders and a country … the country has an incentive to default after a liquidity shock. Indeed, we show that the country may choose to retain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008917791
The paper presents trade policy as in line with that of other continental European powers, with a move to moderate levels of tariff protection for politically sensitive sectors such as steel and textiles and clothing, but also in agriculture, with levels of protection falling slightly before the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364457
This paper reconstructs the series of the real returns on Italian equities, bank and PO deposits and long-term government bonds from 1860 to today. In the long-run the return on shares was much higher than that on government securities and also that on bank and PO deposits. However, this summary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113669