Showing 1 - 10 of 100
sovereign risk affects banking risk (and vice versa), presents some new evidence on bank-sovereign links, and discusses policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100401
We study the effect of the increase in Italian sovereign debt risk on credit supply on a sample of 670,000 bank … exploit the lower impact of sovereign risk on foreign banks operating in Italy than on domestic banks. We study firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099677
This paper uses a Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive model to assess the macroeconomic impact of the euro-area sovereign debt crisis and the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's conventional monetary policy. First, our results show that in the countries most affected by the crisis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011207928
We find evidence of a bank lending channel for the euro area operating via bank risk. Financial innovation and the new … ways to transfer credit risk have tended to diminish the informational content of standard bank balance-sheet indicators …. We show that bank risk conditions, as perceived by financial market investors, need to be considered, together with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004962187
Survey data attract considerable interest as timely and reliable series for assessing the state of the economy. We investigate the relationship between the manufacturing PMI and the Index of Industrial Production (IPI) for Italy, with a special focus on the effects of the latest crisis. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009350679
between macroeconomic variables and time-varying bond risk premia. Estimating the model with US and German data, we obtain an … find that time-varying risk premia play a non-negligible role in exchange rate fluctuations due to the fact that a currency … tends to appreciate when risk premia on long-term bonds denominated in that currency rise. A number of other novel empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113551
In this paper we present a coincident indicator for the Italian economy, Ita-coin. We construct a multivariate filter based on a broad information set, whose dimension is reduced by the Generalized Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM) approach proposed by Forni et al. (2002). A regression based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099638
We study the dynamics of risk premiums on the German bond market, employing no-arbitrage term-structure models with … specification analisys based on a new canonical representation for this class of models. We find that risk premiums display a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113607
This paper studies the interaction between monetary and fiscal authorities while investors are coordinating on a speculative attack. The authorities want to achieve specific targets for output and inflation but also to avoid a regime change (i.e. sovereign default). They use the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099682
their consequences for monetary transmission mechanisms. This paper analyses the case of a monetary union composed of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671384