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This paper analyzes the Italian segment of the Eurozone money market since the start of the European Monetary Union. Some relevant variables are analyzed at different frequencies (intramonth, intraweek and intraday); both level and volatily of the overnight interest rate, volume exchanged in the...
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The global financial crisis has reaffirmed the importance of financial factors for macroeconomic fluctuations. Recent work has shown how the conventional pre-crisis prescription that monetary policy should pay no attention to financial variables over and above their effects on inflation may no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099720
This paper proposes a comparative analysis of the main macroeconomic aggregates (both real and credit aggregates), and the monetary policy response during the most severe recessions experienced by the Italian economy. This descriptive study focuses mainly on the last forty years, a period for...
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In many VARs, monetary policy shocks are identified with the least squares residuals from a regression of the federal funds rate on an assortment of variables. Such regressions appear to be structurally fragile and are at odds with other evidence on the nature of the Fed's reaction function;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005780700
The paper studies the transmission of monetary policy through its effects on the exchange rate and on long-term interest rates under different schemes of expectations formation, within the framework of the quaterly model of the Banca d'Italia (BIQM).
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The prominent role assigned to money by the ECB has been the subject of an intense debate because of the declining predictive power of the monetary aggregate M3 for inflation in recent years. This paper reassesses the information content of monetary analysis for future inflation using dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980170
A standard model-based trend-cycle decomposition of Italian GDP yields a likelihood function that is relatively flat and has two local maxima. A Bayesian estimation of the model identifies output gap and trend components that match the features of the Italian business cycle well. In a bivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099696