Showing 1 - 10 of 115
Under the assumption of bounded rationality, economic agents learn from their past mistaken predictions by combining new and old information to form new beliefs. The purpose of this paper is to examine how the policy-maker, by affecting private agents' learning process, determines the speed at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005770763
We analyse a simplified New-Keynesian model with an unobserved aggregate cost-push shock in which firms and the central bank have different information about the shock. We consider a linear policy rule where a pure inflation targeting central bank decides how much to react to the shock given its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099675
economy where (i) private agents have incomplete information and form their expectations using recursive learning algorithms … their target level; and (iii) the central bank, ignoring the exact mechanism used by private agents to form expectations … stabilize expectations and to speed up the learning process the response of the policy instrument to inflation should be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764925
have incomplete knowledge of the surrounding environment, they form expectations that may deviate substantially from the … policymaking of departing from the benchmark of rational expectations and assuming instead that agents learn adaptively. It focuses … explicit bounds on inflation, they seem better suited to restrain expectations from drifting significantly away from target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609381
This paper studies the role of citizens� demand for political information in elections and provides a possible explanation for the poor empirical support encountered by political economy models of income redistribution. It shows that incentives to gather political information may derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005467304
We derive the optimal fiscal policy for a government that is committed to honoring its debt but faces investors which fear a sovereign default. We assume that investors are able to learn from new evidence, as in Marcet and Sargent (1989), so that they can gradually correct their overly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099622
We study firms� incentives to acquire costly information in booms and recessions to understand the role of endogenous information in explaining business cycles. We find that when the economy has been in a recession in the previous period, and firms enter the current period with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099646
We study an inflow of buyers who are less elastic because they lack both time and information. Theory predicts that sellers increase prices to expand surplus appropriation, even if marginal costs are non-increasing, but this effect weakens as market competition intensifies. Data from Italian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099678
In this paper we analyze the role played by self-confidence, modeled as beliefs about one�s ability, in shaping task choices. We propose a model in which fully rational agents exploit all the available information to update their beliefs using Bayes� rule, eventually learning their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099705
The paper surveys the literature on the measurement of innovation activity and evaluates the position of Italy with respect to the other major European countries. Innovation has been measured from different perspectives: the environment in which firms operate, firms' commitment, its outcome....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105109