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We study the impact of the publication of central banks� macroeconomic projections on the dynamic properties of an economy where (i) private agents have incomplete information and form their expectations using recursive learning algorithms; (ii) the short-term nominal interest rate is set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764925
nature of this forecast, it could also undermine the credibility of the central bank. We provide new evidence on the effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459742
on the state of the Italian economy in the 1990s, taking as a benchmark the forecasting errors generated by the quarterly … forecasting errors in monetary and real variables, thereby taking into account links that may not be accounted for by the modelï …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113577
into risk premium and forecast error components, we find that risk premia are counter-cyclical in both areas. On the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609342
The available empirical evidence suggests that non-negligible differences in economic structures persist among euro area countries. Because of these asymmetries, an area-wide modelling approach is arguably less reliable, from a strictly statistical viewpoint, than a multi-country one. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111550
In this paper, after discussing the theoretical underpinnings of unconventional monetary policy measures, we review the existing empirical evidence on their effectiveness, focusing on those adopted by the European Central Bank and by the Federal Reserve. These measures operate in two ways:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320180
This publication collects the papers presented at the workshop entitled "The sovereign debt crisis and the euro area", held at the Bank of Italy in Rome on 15 February 2013. In recent years the Economic Research and International Relations Area of the Bank of Italy has conducted several analyses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277929
An important concern for the European Central Bank (ECB), and all central banks alike, is the necessity of making decisions in real time under conditions of great uncertainty about the underlying state of the economy. We address this concern by estimating on real-time data a New Keynesian model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008917790