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What kind of information do stock prices offer for predicting velocity? This paper develops previous work by Milton Friedman for the US economy and shows that a wealth effect derived from the stock market has negatively influenced the ratio of nominal income to a broad definition of money in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005780692
From a financial standpoint, the mechanics of the carry trade has been recently examined in Brunnermeier et al. (2009). They showed that shocks to interest rate differentials lead to carry trade activity and to significant reactions in the bilateral exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320179
, traditional financial market participants (money managers) still show the stronger (simultaneous) correlation with price movements … precede - variations in futures returns. Employing a GARCH model, we find that the activity of money managers tends to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645788
This paper analyzes the impact of news on several Italian financial variables, paying particular attention to the effect on the conditional volatility of these variables. The analysis spans a period of great financial and political turbulence in Italy, including the rapid succession of three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005770784
This paper explores the implications of systemic risk in Credit Structured Finance (CSF). Risk measurement issues loomed large during the 2007-08 financial crisis, as the massive, unprecedented number of downgrades of AAA senior bond tranches inflicted severe losses on banks, calling into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677911
Theory suggests that uninsurable income risk induces individuals to accumulate assets as a precautionary reserve of value. Most assets, however, bear rate of return risk, that can be diversified only if every asset is traded by a large number of individuals and arbitrage is frictionless. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113608
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000885605