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level, after controlling for inflation expectations, and whether it is concentrated among those firms that are more exposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005770766
This paper proposes a monetary policy game based on a microfounded general equilibrium model. The approach allows some key features of the policy game to be related to basic technological and preference parameters. Moreover, it shows how results are affected by the presence of non-atomistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005780671
The empirical literature on the transmission of monetary policy to inflation in Italy has stressed the importance of … the exchange rate and, to some extent, of the demand channel; recently, the roles of inflation expectations and the fiscal … situation have been emphasized. This paper uses vector auto-regression to address this issue. The results suggest that inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005780682
Generalized Dynamic Factor Model to derive a set of core inflation indicators that, combining national with area-wide data, allow …-wide inflation once the information contained in area-wide data has been exploited, and whether it is useful, in order to track ECB …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005609397
This paper estimates a small New-Keynesian model with imperfect information and optimal discretionary policy using data for the euro area. The model is used to assess the usefulness of monetary aggregates and unit labour costs as information variables for monetary policy. The estimates reveal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113646
in output and inflation are due to changes in potential output or to cyclical demand and cost shocks. We refer to this … ndings provide a partial explanation for the inflation of the seventies and the price stability of the nineties. 3. A … during and following periods of large changes in potential output the IP significantly affects the dynamics of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113648
Price versus productivity indexing is considered in a model of monetary policy with wage bargaining. The wage-indexing rule is negotiated in a first stage of the game between government, union and firm.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671385
In the past decade changes in oil prices have played a significant role in shaping inflation dynamics in the US and in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008626023
issue is of particular interest for those monetary authorities that target headline consumer price inflation, which has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099718
Between 2013 and 2014, following the recession triggered by the sovereign debt crisis, euro-area inflation decreased … sharply. Although a fall in the inflation rate was to be expected, given the severity of the recession, professional … inflation, which was unaccounted for in forecasting models. We probe this explanation in the context of a simple backward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100362