In this paper we provide evidence on the relation between the currency carry trade and currency crashes with the Chilean peso. Using rich information from the local Chilean forward market, we show that speculation over recently high interest rate differentials between the peso and developed...

This paper explores the effects of pension reform on precautionary savings, wealth accumulation and welfare. The impact of pension programs on income uncertainty through life has been largely ignored in the literature of precautionary savings and pension reform. This paper uses dynamic...

This paper explores the impact of banking concentration on safety net design –in particular, deposit insurance– and on systemic risk. The paper focuses on a system characterized by high concentration and low total number of banks. Each issue is addressed separately. The first section...

This paper uses an Overlapping Generations-General Equilibrium model to study the impact of the introduction of tax incentives to voluntary savings for retirement in Chile. The paper analyzes the macro impact of the reform, driven mainly by its effect on savings and capital accumulation, and its...

In this paper we study the determinants of financial risk of households. We estimate the probability of default of household using a probit model with two novel variables: (i) a Modified version of the Debt Service Ratio index (MDSR) and (ii) the probability of job layoff of the head of the...

In this paper we study the role played by capital controls (CC), the flexibility of the exchange rate regime (FERR) and the stock of assets held abroad (AA) in reducing the volatility of capital flows. First, following Forbes and Warnok (2012), we study the impact of CC, FERR and AA on the...

This paper summarizes the works presented at the twelfth Annual Conference at the Central Bank of Chile entitled “Financial Stability, Monetary Policy and Central Banking”, held in November 2008 and compiled in a forthcoming book. These works, that include both theoretical and empirical...