Una de las consecuencias de las políticas monetarias expansivas en los países desarrollados, especialmente de EEUU, fue el ingreso masivo de inversionistas no resientes en activos emergentes. Muchos analistas advertían que estos flujos eran de corta duración y que la eventual normalización...

El objetivo de este trabajo es profundizar la identificación de los episodios de “auge crediticio” en el Perú. Éste se define como aquel periodo durante el cual el crédito al sector privado se incrementa por encima de lo usual durante una típica fase expansiva del ciclo económico y...

The goal of this paper is to explain a recent regularity observed in economies in which central banks have moved from using a money aggregate as the instrument for the conduction of monetary policy towards a short-term interest rate (for example Peru in 2002). In particular, in those economies...

Since the adoption of the fully-fledged inflation targeting (IT) regime by an important group of central banks, a measure of both the potential output and the natural interest rate have become one of the main concerns of the research agenda. Estimation of the natural interest rate (NIR) is...

We extend the New Keynesian Monetary Policy literature relaxing the assumption that the decisions are taken by a single policymaker, considering instead that monetary policy decisions are taken collectively in a committee. We introduce a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), whose members have...

We study whether monetary policy and real exchange rate shocks have non-linear effects on output and inflation in a partially dollarized economy such as Peru. For this purpose, we use a Smooth Transition Vector Autoregression methodology and then report impulse-response functions for shocks of...

This paper shows how persistent world inflation shocks hitting a small open economy can re-weight the importance of domestic and foreign factors in the determination of prices. In particular, we study why a global disinflation environment may imply a weakening of the channels whereby domestic...

This study aims to identify the preferences of the monetary authority in the Peruvian regime of inflation targeting through the derivation of optimal monetary policy rules. To achieve that, we used a calibration strategy based on the choice of values of the parameters of preferences that...

En este trabajo se identifica las no-linealidades y asimetrías del ciclo del crédito bancario para Perú en el periodo 1994 - 2010. Estas características del crédito son importantes porque los lineamientos de política monetaria, la regulación financiera y el planeamiento estratégico de...

Under inflation targeting and other related monetary policy regimes, the identification of non-transitory in ation and forecasts about future inflation constitute key ingredients for monetary policy decisions. In practice, central banks perform these tasks using so-called "core inflation...