This paper evaluates the link between inflation and inflation uncertainty in a context of monetary policy regime shifts for the Peruvian economy. We use a model of unobserved components subject to regime shifts to evaluate this link. We verify that periods of high(low) inflation me an were...

In a fully micro-founded New Keynesian framework, we characterize analytically the relation between average inflation and oil price volatility by solving the rational expectations equilibrium of the model up to second order of accuracy. Higher oil price volatility induces higher levels of...

Este trabajo revisa la evidencia existente sobre el impacto de la adopción del esquema de metas explícitas de inflación (MEI) sobre la dinámica de la inflación. En particular, se reporta la evaluación econométrica de Vega y Winkelried (2005) y se compara sus resultados con aquellos...

The goal of this paper is to explain a recent regularity observed in economies in which central banks have moved from using a money aggregate as the instrument for the conduction of monetary policy towards a short-term interest rate (for example Peru in 2002). In particular, in those economies...

One of the most important structural relationships for policy makers is the Phillips curve; thus, this topic is the focus of ongoing theoretical and empirical research. We estimate the degree of information stickiness implied by the sticky information Phillips curve proposed by Mankiw and Reis...

Under inflation targeting and other related monetary policy regimes, the identification of non-transitory in ation and forecasts about future inflation constitute key ingredients for monetary policy decisions. In practice, central banks perform these tasks using so-called "core inflation...

The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) has been targeting inflation for more than a decade, using Lima’s inflation as the operational measure. An alternative indicator is countrywide inflation, whose quality and real-time availability have improved substantially lately. Hence, given these two...

Este documento de trabajo provee un análisis empírico de la relación entre movimientos del tipo de cambio y los principales índices de precios en los países de la OECD. El análisis del trabajo esta centrado en cómo diferentes ambientes inflacionarios permitirían explicar el descenso en...

This paper shows how persistent world inflation shocks hitting a small open economy can re-weight the importance of domestic and foreign factors in the determination of prices. In particular, we study why a global disinflation environment may imply a weakening of the channels whereby domestic...

Historical data and model simulations support the following conclusion. Inflation is low during stock market booms, so that an interest rate rule that is too narrowly focused on inflation destabilizes asset markets and the broader economy. Adjustments to the interest rate rule can remove this...