Showing 1 - 10 of 15
Business cycle properties under different monetary policy rules are examined in a variety of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models (the real business cycle models, the nominal wage contract models with different length of contracts, and the monopolistic competition models with different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155288
The paper contains some implications for applied econometric research. Two important ones are, first, that invertible models, such as AR or VAR models, cannot in general be used to model seasonally adjusted or detrended data. The second one is that to look at the business cycle in detrended...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155211
Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter of (most often, seasonally adjusted) quaterly series is analysed. Some of the criticism to the filter are adressed. It is seen that, while filtering strongly affects autocorrelations, it has little effect on crosscorrelations. It is argued that the criticism that HP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155249
This paper studies the relationship between Spanish real aggregate fluctuations and those of its Europe neighbors in the last decades. It studies the ability of alternative International Real Business Cycle models (based on Backus, Kehoe and Kydland (1994) with different degrees of international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155262
In this paper we contrast a number of univariate models of Canadian GDP. We find that non-linear models are prefered to linear models, and that the most recent recession in Canada was unique in both its length and in the slow speed of recovery. We also briefly explore the link between stages of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005750835
This paper considers the extent to which fluctuations in Australian economic growth are affected by domestic and overseas economic performance. We investigate the performance of a range of non-linear models versus linear models using Bayes factors and posterior odds ratios. The posterior odds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005574902
We address the question of whether asymmetry in the business cycle and asymmetry in the persistence of negative versus positive shocks characteries Australian output growth. Using nonlinear time series models we provide evidence that suggests Australian output growth is characterised by three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005574910
The concepts of steepness and deepness are used to investigate the existence of asymmetries at the business cycle frequencies in a number of Australian macroeconomic time series. The results suggest that Australian macroeconomic variables do not display any detectable asymmetries at the business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005578951
In the first section the authors discuss the nature of cyclical features and the distinction between the traditional analysis of co-movement discussed in the business cycles literature and the more recent common cycles analysis. Section 2 examines the nature of the data used in the estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005587675
In this paper we examine the alternative detrending methods used to identify the stylised facts of the business cycle and develop a simple smoothing procedure that can be used to estimate the asymmetric cycles digested by an important class of macroeconomic models. To illustrate the properties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005587695