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We propose a fundamentals-based econometric model for the weekly changes in the euro-dollar rate with the distinctive feature of mixing economic variables quoted at different frequencies. The model obtains good in-sample fit and, more importantly, encouraging outof-sample forecasting results at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862286
This paper studies the pass-through of exchange rate changes into the prices of imports that originated inside the euro area made by some New Member States (NMSs) of the European Union and one candidate country (Turkey). I use data on import unit values for nine different product categories and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155237
The fiscal theory of the price level has challenged the conventional view that monetary factors drive prices and exchange rates and has also provided a rationale for fiscal restrictions in a monetary union. This paper reviews the main results and compelling criticisms of this theory, analyzing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155276