In this paper we consider that the relationship between nominal exchange rate and prices depends on the nature of the shocks impacting the economy. In order to identify the sources of nominal exchange rate and relative price fluctuations in Spain we impose long-run restrictions on the dynamics...

Inflation has fallen dramatically in countries like Spain and Italy over the last decade, but the rate of increase in "home good" prices remains stubbornly higher than the rate of increase in "traded good" prices. The paper begins by showing that this discrepancy can be explained (at least in...

Monetary union in Europe raises the problem of converting into euros nominal historical series calculated in the respective national currencies. The aim of this paper is to evaluate alternative conversion procedures, including use of the rates fixed at the start of Stage Three between the...

In this study it is attempted to estimate the amount of speculation in foreign exchange market.

One and three-month forward exchange rates for the deustche mark, french franc, sterling pound, yen and peseta, relative to the US dollar, seem to be cointegrated with future spot rates, but not with current exchange rates. We confirm the unbiasedness hypothesis for this data set, as a robust...

The paper addresses the issue of the role of exchange rate jumps. The short-run dynamics of the peseta's effective exchange rate vis-a- vis OECD countries over the period 1974:1 - 1995:9 is estimated using a PPP-based error-correction model enlarged with additional terms allowing for the...

Exchange rate targets in a stabilization game are considered. The targeting strategy consists on the choice of a desired level for the exchange and the weight assigned to such target in the loss function. The exchange rate target appears then as an intermediate objective and acts as a surrogate...

A simple method to estimate multilateral equilibrium real exchange rates in a cointegration framework is used to compute the equilibrium real exchange rate for the peseta. The stock of foreign assets and the evolution of sectoral prices have been considered to be the fundamentals for the real...

This paper provides empirical evidence on the effectiveness of movements in nominal exchange rates in smooting cyclical imbalances between countries, as explained by the literature on optimal currency areas.