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Cuando se efectúa el análisis de los factores explicativos de la evolución de las exportaciones, a menudo se consideran únicamente como variables determinantes aquellas que afectan a la demanda de exportaciones, en particular, la competitividad y la demanda exterior, suponiendo así, que la...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155222
Over the last decade economic integration has advanced in both areas, and this has been seen as an opportunity for real convergence in Latin America and in the European periphery. But our approach emphasises that integration has to be supplemented by macroeconomic stability and structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004981014
This note investigates whether industry specific characteristics are important determinants of the demand and supply of exports in the euro area, the United Kingdom and the United States. It has two parts: (i) an analysis of the dataset and a discussion of the differences across countries and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999272
En este trabajo se pretende comprobar la posible existencia de histéresis en la oferta de exportaciones de manufacturas en algunos países de la zona del euro, es decir, se analiza si los movimientos transitorios del tipo de cambio tienen un impacto permanente sobre las exportaciones. La...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590682
El trabajo pretende profundizar en la evolución de los determinantes de la demanda de las exportaciones de manufacturas en los países de la UEM así como en la distinta respuesta de estas ante cambios en sus variables explicativas. Para ello se han estimado para cada uno de los países de la...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004965253
We analyse the likely effects of changes in the monetary and financial regimes of EMU countries on the dynamics of output and inflation. In particular, we evaluate the impact of the regime shift on the forecasting performance of reduced-form models. Data for both the pre-EMU and the EMU regimes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022237
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155223
This paper analyses the behaviour of real interest rates in the Spanish economy over the last 15 years. Since inflation-indexed-bonds are not available, changes in implicit real interest rates are estimated using several approaches suggested by macroeconomic and financial theory. In particular,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155243
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155294
This paper analyses the contribution of interest rates to explain recent house price developments in Spain trying to reconcile different pieces of evidence. On the one hand, empirical evidence supports the view that interest rates are a key variable to explain house price developments. As a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155311