In this paper we propose a model for monthly inflation with stochastic trend, seasonal and transitory components with …, the uncertainty associated with these components may increase with the level of inflation as postulated by Friedman. We … experiments. Finally, we use auxiliary residuals to detect conditional heteroscedasticity in monthly inflation series of eight …

To select the best leading indicators for predicting short-term inflation, an extensive number of economic variables is …

bank independence and measures of persistence, and then we compare them with inflation performance in OECD countries. Our … of inflation. …

Inflation-indexed bonds are fixed-income securities whose nominal cash flows are adjusted to an inflation index. In … countries where these securities exist, inflation expectations are sometimes estimated as the spread between the nominal yield … the same issuer. However, this indicator known as the break-even rate, may estimate inflation expectations with some …

Political Science on June 4th. It starts by asking what factors have been behind the remarkable retreat of inflation that has …

provincial inflation divergences and relative price shifts. Inflation differentials are found to be small (the range is less than …

orientation of macroeconomic policies - and of monetary policies in particular - to achieving lower inflation rates. This has led … to a move from low inflation to price stability in a number of countries and, in particular, in Spain. The purpose of … from achieving inflation rates which are low enough to be considered consistent with a situation of price stability. …

We use an integrated framework based on the CCAPM to jointly estimate ex-ante real interest rates, inflation risk … premia and agents' inflation expectation errors in four countries - France, Spain, UK and US - under three different …