Showing 1 - 10 of 93
for economic analysis and forecasting. This enormous volume of information, available in real time, can be handled by … inflows to Spain (the Spanish tourist industry's main customers). The improvement in the forecasting provided by the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010684834
. After ten prosperous years with an average GDP growth of 3.7%, the current recession places non-judgemental forecasting …-sized linear dynamic regressions with priors originating in the Bayesian VAR literature. Our forecasting procedure can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008763789
This document presents a multivariate transfer function model for two components of CPI, the processed food and non-energy industrial goods, where the component of consumption goods of industrial price index (i.e. wholesale prices) is used as a leading indicator. We find that inflation rates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520558
We study the relationship between hours worked and technology during the postwar period in the US. We show that the responses of hours to technological improvements have increased over time, and that the patterns captured by the SVAR are consistent with those obtained from an RBC model with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862289
treatment of expectations or wealth– can have a major bearing on the results that may not necessarily reflect differences in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590711
This paper presents original evidence on price setting in the euro area at the individual level. We use micro data on consumer (CPI) and producer (PPI) prices, as well as survey information. Our main findings are: (i) prices in the euro area are sticky and more so than in the US; (ii) there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155258
This paper reports the results of a survey carried out by the Banco de España on a sample of around 2000 Spanish firms to deepen the understanding of firms' price setting behaviour. The main findings may be summarised as follows. Most Spanish firms are price setters that use predominantly state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155298
This paper explores the role of a number of factors in explaining the heterogeneity in the degree of price stickiness across industries, on the basis of the information provided by surveys on pricing behavior conducted in nine euro area countries. The main focus is placed on the influence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155306
To select the best leading indicators for predicting short-term inflation, an extensive number of economic variables is analysed at quarterly level on the basis of their past correlation with the consumer price index (CPI) and its services and non-energy processed goods component (IPSEBENE)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520570
This paper assesses the impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation. We find, consistently with recent international evidence, that the inflationary effect of oil price changes is limited, even though crude oil price fluctuations are a major driver of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008496168