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This paper focuses on the pass-through of exchange rate changes into the prices of imports made by euro area countries originating outside the area. Using data on import unit values for thirteen different product categories for each country, we estimate industry-specific rates of pass-through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980989
output and inflation. In particular, we evaluate the impact of the regime shift on the forecasting performance of reduced … insignificant. The impact on ouput forecasting accuracy would be comparatively much larger if the new monetary union regime is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022237
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001788067
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022238
This paper presents an empirical analysis of transmission rates from exchange rate movements to import prices, across countries and product categories, in the euro area over the last fifteen years. Our results show that the transmission of exchange rate changes to import prices in the short run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022288
Monetary union in Europe raises the problem of converting into euros nominal historical series calculated in the respective national currencies. The aim of this paper is to evaluate alternative conversion procedures, including use of the rates fixed at the start of Stage Three between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155215
In this study it is attempted to estimate the amount of speculation in foreign exchange market.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155219
One and three-month forward exchange rates for the deustche mark, french franc, sterling pound, yen and peseta, relative to the US dollar, seem to be cointegrated with future spot rates, but not with current exchange rates. We confirm the unbiasedness hypothesis for this data set, as a robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155231
The paper addresses the issue of the role of exchange rate jumps. The short-run dynamics of the peseta's effective exchange rate vis-a- vis OECD countries over the period 1974:1 - 1995:9 is estimated using a PPP-based error-correction model enlarged with additional terms allowing for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155238
Empirical evidence shows that fixed exchange rates do not provide more fiscal discipline than flexible regimes, despite the fact that, in priciple, fixing the exchange rate imposes important restrictions on seignoriage revenues. A more detailed analysis of seignoriage allows to explain the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155239