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We show that the distribution of any portfolio whose components jointly follow a location-scale mixture of normals can be characterised solely by its mean, variance and skewness. Under this distributional assumption, we derive the mean-variance-skewness frontier in closed form, and show that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969776
We derive Lagrange Multiplier and Likelihood Ratio specifi cation tests for the null hypotheses of multivariate normal and Student t innovations using the Generalised Hyperbolic distribution as our alternative hypothesis. We decompose the corresponding Lagrange Multiplier-type tests into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008495372
agencies to construct aggregate GDP figures. The real time forecast evaluation conducted over the most severe phase of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008763789
Do public sector wages exert presures on private sector wages, or has private sector a leadership role in wage setting?. This paper tries to isolate the pure signalling effect that one sector might exert on the other by controlling for other determinants of wages (prices, productivity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008486936
This paper examines possible explanations for observed differences in the transmission of euro area monetary policy in central bank large scale macroeconomic models. In particular it considers the extent to which these differences are due to differences in the underlying economies or (possibly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590711
In this paper we estimate a standard version of the New Keynesian Monetary (NKM) model augmented with term structure in order to analyze two issues. First, we analyze the effect of introducing an explicit term structure channel in the NKM model on the estimated parameter values of the model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155259
The term spread may play a major role in a monetary policy rule whenever data revisions of output and inflation are not well behaved. In this paper we use a structural approach based on the indirect inference principle to estimate a standard version of the New Keynesian Monetary (NKM) model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041943
The paper deals with estimation of missing observations in possibly nonstationary ARIMA models. First, the model is assumed known, and the structure of the interpolation filter is analysed. Using the inverse or dual autocorrelation function it is seen how estimation of a missing observation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022239
The asymptotic efficiency of indirect estimation methods, such as the efficient method of moments and indirect inference, depends on the choice of the auxiliary model. To date, this choice has been somewhat ad hoc and based on an educated guess. In this article we introduce a class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862251
In this paper we propose a model for monthly inflation with stochastic trend, seasonal and transitory components with QGARCH disturbances. This model distinguishes whether the long-run or short-run components are heteroscedastic. Furthermore, the uncertainty associated with these components may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022265