Showing 1 - 10 of 91
In this paper we decompose nominal interest rates into real risk-free rates, inflation expectations and risk premia … countries currently involved in convergence towards EMU. The evidence indicates that inflation expectations and risk premia … using an affine model that takes as factors the observed inflation rate and the parameters generated in the zero yield curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005088322
Previous studies show that existing correlations between national returns are higher than correlations between the national growth rates of fundamental variables. This paper examines the ability of intertemporal asset pricing models to explain crosscountry correlations of national returns. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590670
forecast the yield curve in a way that allows us to incorporate a non-arbitrage opportunities condition and risk aversion into … an estimation of the risk premia. Our approach is somewhat equivalent to the recent contribution of Christiensen, Diebold … directly the inflation rate as an additional factor without reducing the forecasting ability of the model. The augmented model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969769
Since the Latin American debt crisis of the early 80s, country risk analysis has accounted for a significant part of … the work of research and risk management departments of banks, insurance companies, rating agencies, financial market … regulators, and multinational companies. Country risk is a very broad concept, that includes sovereign risk, transfer risk, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022307
The paper tests whether there were events of contagion, and portfolio shift, in the sovereign bond markets of eleven emerging countries' between January 1995 and November 2001. From existing definitions, we narrow down the concept of contagion by focusing on pricing errors, after general market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004965259
interest risk and inflation risk, or because it helps them reduce the volatility of their portfolio of stocks and bonds because …In this article, we explore the demand for the euro for risk management purposes, and the evidence of stock market … consequently improved risk sharing among euro zone economies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008464965
, differences are muted by wealth effects on labor supply and by the presence of savers. More persistent shocks, such as inflation … of collateral constraints, the optimal Taylor rule is less aggressive against inflation than in the standard sticky …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969770
This paper studies the implications of cross-country housing market heterogeneity for a monetary union, also comparing the results with a flexible exchange rate and independent monetary policy setting. I develop a two-country new Keynesian general equilibrium model with housing and collateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969771
We assess the effects of reforms in product and labor markets in a model economy featuring credit restrictions and pre-existing long-term debt. Both elements, which are core features of the current scenario faced by some euro area countries, combine to produce a slow and protracted deleveraging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010812053
Household debt in many advanced economies has increased significantly since the 1980s and accelerated in the years prior to the Great Recession, resulting in an aggregate reduction of saving rates in the developed economies. Some of those economies are now deleveraging, which may be affecting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010795050