Showing 1 - 10 of 111
We use an integrated framework based on the CCAPM to jointly estimate ex-ante real interest rates, inflation risk … premia and agents' inflation expectation errors in four countries - France, Spain, UK and US - under three different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022298
stable rates inflation in many countries in the nineties. Consequently, the main goal of this paper is to offer an overview … of the main policy issues arising in a low inflation environment and their practical relevance so as to identify the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155235
Aging is an unstoppable process and it remains a major challenge for the sustainability of the PAYG pension system in most developed countries, including in Spain. Many countries need to introduce reforms of their pension systems in order to control their expenditure, and in some cases this has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862282
In this paper we study the quantitative properties of a policy reform aimed at funding the pension system in the standard model economy with perfect substitution across workers with different experience levels and a model economy where this substitutability is imperfect. With compulsory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590724
This paper builds a large overlapping generations model of a small open economy featuring imperfect competition in the labor and product markets to understand i) which were the main determinants of the large expansionary phase experienced in Spain from the mid-1990s until the arrival of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001395
bond price negotiation will produce higher volatility for bonds approaching their maturity dates. To show these effects, we … the out-ofsample error for each bond and day. The variance of these errors is found to be negatively correlated with each … bond’s turnover and duration, while the mean of the errors is found to be directly correlated with the estimated variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862290
This paper analyses the behaviour of real interest rates in the Spanish economy over the last 15 years. Since inflation … that inflation uncertainty could account for a notable part of the observed decrease in nominal rates. Consequently, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155243
This paper analyses the contribution of interest rates to explain recent house price developments in Spain trying to reconcile different pieces of evidence. On the one hand, empirical evidence supports the view that interest rates are a key variable to explain house price developments. As a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005155311
directly the inflation rate as an additional factor without reducing the forecasting ability of the model. The augmented model … produces an estimation of market expectations about inflation free of liquidity, counterparty and term premia. We provide a … comparison of the properties of this indicator with others usually employed to proxy the inflation expectations, such as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969769
In this paper we decompose nominal interest rates into real risk-free rates, inflation expectations and risk premia … using an affine model that takes as factors the observed inflation rate and the parameters generated in the zero yield curve … countries currently involved in convergence towards EMU. The evidence indicates that inflation expectations and risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005088322