workers in employment by sector. To forecast future migration flows, we propose and estimate a model of demand for Mexican …

employment across Mexican states. As a measure of formal employment we use the number of workers with permanent contracts … states are highly heterogeneous with respect to the degree of employment comovement and the association between the state and … national employment. Only in 11 of the 32 states we find that fluctuations in state employment are highly synchronized between …

We determine the extent of cyclical comovement in employment among the regions of Mexico by analyzing the covariance of … the disturbances in regional cycles during the period July 1997 - October 2009. Employment refers to the number of workers … structural multivariate model of the employment time series. We find, for most regions, that employment comovement is high and …

person and the employment ratio. These last two variables have trends that make them non-stationary. There are three results … of interest. First, a technology shock reduces both hours and employment if those two variables are specified in first … differences, with the response of employment being stronger than the response of hours. Second, a technology shock increases both …

whether changes in matching frictions can explain the large and persistent increase in Mexican unemployment after the 2008 … unemployment rate. Hence, these results suggest that changes in matching frictions cannot explain most of the increase in … unemployment. …