Showing 1 - 10 of 60
The aim of this paper is to assess inflation forecasting acurracy over the short-term horizon using Consumer Price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524272
This paper elaborates on the alternative measure of persistence recently suggested in Marques (2004), which is based on the idea of mean reversion. A formal distinction between the “unconditional probability of a given process not crossing its mean in period t” and its estimator, is made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524277
This paper addresses some issues concerning the definition and measurement of inflation persistence in the context of … assumption for the long run level of inflation and that such long run level should be allowed to vary through time. Second, a non …-parametric measure of persistence is suggested which explores the relation between persistence and mean reversion. Third, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524284
We show how monetary aggregates can be usefully incorporated in forecasts of inflation. This requires fully … disregarding the high-frequency fluctuations blurring the money/inflation relation, i.e., the projection of inflation onto monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008691865
In this paper, we analyze the implications of price setting restrictions for the conduct of cyclical fiscal and monetary policy. We consider an environment with monopolistic competitive firms, a shopping time technology, prices set one period in advance, and government expenditures that must be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520399
In this paper we study the effects of quality change on the price index for new passenger cars in Portugal for the years 1997-2001. Hedonic regression models are studied, giving particular emphasis to the relation between the form of the price index and the specification of the hedonic equation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524112
price setting patterns at the consumer level seem to depend on the level of inflation as well as on the type of outlet. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524125
We study environments with sticky prices, wages or portfolios where it is feasible and optimal to use monetary policy to replicate the allocation under full flexibility. In these environments the optimal policy does not depend on the scope of the frictions. In this sense, the strength of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524136
What instruments of monetary policy must be used in order to implement a unique equilibrium? This paper revisits the issues addressed by Sargent and Wallace (1975) on the multiplicity of equilibria when policy isconducted with interest rate rules. We show that the appropriate interestrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524141
This paper proposes testable conditions that core inflation measures should satisfy. Trend inflation indicators … inflation”, the “10% trimmed mean”, and the “25% trimmed mean” do not meet the proposed conditions. However, they are satisfied …” indicators. Yet, only the last two indicators can be used as useful core inflation measures, as the first one is not computable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008524143