This paper examines the causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and equity market uncertainty (EMU) in the US using linear and nonlinear Granger causality tests. We use daily data on the newly developed indexes by Baker et al. (2013) covering 1985:01:01 to 2013:06:14....

We propose a model of decision making that captures reluctance to bet when the decision maker (DM) perceives that she lacks adequate in- formation or expertise about the underlying contingencies.

This paper investigates price transmissions across European energy forward markets at distinct maturities during both normal times and extreme ?uctuation periods. To this end, we rely on the traditional Granger causality test (in mean) and its multivariate extension in tail distribution...

This paper investigates the direction of causal relationship between taxes and expenditure in South Africa, using quarterly data for the period 1960:1-2006:2, and annual data for 1960 to 2005. For both frequencies, gross domestic product and government debt are included in the VAR system as...

The aim of this paper is to investigate the causal relationship between agricultural prices in South Africa and global oil prices. A nonlinear Granger causality test based on moment conditions, introduced by Nishiyama et al (2011) is employed and we find that there is indeed a causal...