Forecasting the density of returns is useful for many purposes in finance, such as risk manage- ment activities, portfolio choice or derivative security pricing. Existing methods to forecast the den- sity of returns either use prices of the asset of interest or option prices on this same asset....

In this paper, we first provide empirical evidence of the existence of intraday jumps in the crude oil price series. We then show that these jumps, in conjunction with realized volatility measures, are important in modeling the convenience yield over the 2001-2010 period. Our empirical results...

In this paper, we review the extant mathematical and environmental economics literatures on the stochastic properties of CO2 emission allowance futures prices. We explain the main findings arising from this literature from both continuous- and jump-diffusion models. Based on the Activity...

This article uses the DCC-FIAPARCH model to examine the time-varying properties of conditional return and volatility of crude oil and US stock markets as well as their dynamic correlations over the period 1988-2013. Our results indicate that both the long memory and asymmetric behavior...

Two integrated financial markets are generally subjected to common shocks revealing that commonalities in funda- mentals drive the underlying return processes. In such a case, volatilities should share a long-run component although their transitory

The paper analyses the time-varying conditional correlations between stock markets and oil

This paper shows the usefulness and relevance of the multivariate fractional cointegration in exploring the dynamic

The aim of this paper is to study the degree of interdependence between oil price and stock market index into two groups of countries: oil-importer countries and exporter ones. To this end, we propose a new empirical methodology allowing a time-varying dynamic correlation measure between the...

This paper assesses the impact of oil prices on economic growth of the four major OPEC countries (United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela) over the period spanning from 03/09/2000 to 03/12/2010. We aim at complementing the results from existing analyses (mainly focused on...