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El documento analiza la política fiscal a lo largo del Siglo XX en Colombia, con énfasis en los factores económicos y de economía política que determinaron los aciertos y las dificultades fiscales que experimentó el país. Desde el punto de vista de las estadísticas, se construyen series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010571642
Después de la ejecución del programa de ajuste fiscal y macroeconómico aplicado entre 1999 y 2002, y de las medidas económicas tomadas por la actual administración, se conoce que el país no se encuentra aún sobre una senda fiscal sostenible. Este documento recapitula integralmente el...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113955
In the past decade the Colombian Economic Authorities undertook a series of measures that reduced the structural fiscal deficit, decreased the Government currency mismatch and deepened the local fixed-rate public bond market. This paper presents some evidence suggesting that these improvements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010543170
En los años veinte del siglo XIX, Colombia, entonces Gran Colombia, fue el mayor deudor internacional. En los siguientes cien años su acceso al mercado internacional de capitales fue mínimo, y su historia financiera estuvo marcada por sucesivas renegociaciones con sus antiguos acreedores....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783911
The understanding of foreign investment flows is important for emerging market policy makers, since such flows make up a considerable part of the balance of payments, and since such flows tend to be very volatile. Sudden stops or reversals of investment flows have, indeed, played an important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113945
In this paper we try to elucidate the relationship between foreign and domestic banks external indebtedness and the business cycle in Colombia. After a brief review of related literature, we characterize the historical behavior of banking external indebtedness in Colombia, and perform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113963
To evaluate whether transparency is beneficial, it is usual to assume that the central bank may choose one of two … inflation announcements. Therefore, even if transparency is preferred over secrecy the central bank cannot credibly commit to … truth-telling, in contrast to what is commonly assumed in the literature on transparency. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862644
This document explores the predictive power of the yield curves in Latin America (Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Chile) taking into account the factors set by the specifications of Nelson & Siegel and Svensson. Several forecasting methodologies are contrasted: an autoregressive model, a vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906071
El documento tiene como objetivo describir algunos de los elementos fundamentales del mercado interbancario colombiano y del manejo de liquidez por parte del Banco de la República (BR). El documento explica las diferencias entre las principales operaciones en este mercado y describe los...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009325851
Three methodologies to estimate the natural interest rate, NIR, are implemented for the Colombian economy. Two methods are statistical filters and the third involves some economic theory. The first method is based on unobserved components decomposition of the real interest rate and explores the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692094