We use a dynamic factor model proposed by Stock and Watson [1998, 1999, 2002a,b] to forecast Colombian inflation. The model includes 92 monthly series observed over the period 1999:01-2008:06. The results show that for short-run horizons, factor model forecasts significantly outperformed the...

This paper extends the asymptotic results of the dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) cointegration vector estimator of Mark and Sul (2003) to a three-dimensional panel. We use a balanced panel of N and M lengths observed over T time periods. The cointegration vector is homogenous across...

Three methodologies to estimate the natural interest rate, NIR, are implemented for the Colombian economy. Two methods are statistical filters and the third involves some economic theory. The first method is based on unobserved components decomposition of the real interest rate and explores the...

En este artículo estudiamos la estimación de un nivel de equilibrio de la cuenta corriente de la balanza de pagos de Colombia y sus posibles implicaciones para el desalineamiento de la tasa de cambio real. Se siguen dos metodologías alternativas para la estimación. Primero, se realiza una...

Este documento presenta las principales tendencias en las plantas de personal, salarios y funciones de 63 bancos centrales, para el período 2000-2009. Se profundiza en el análisis de algunas funciones que realizan los bancos centrales como la supervisión del sistema financiero, la operación...

During the period 2000-2004 central banks sustained a generalized reduction in their staff, which was accompanied, in most cases, with significant increases in staff costs. This could obey to an enhanced interest of central banks in focusing on their core functions. In fact, central banks have...

This paper is concerned with interest rate setting by commercial banks and how the transmission of monetary policy is re°ected in these rates. For this purpose we study the case of the Colombian banking industry for the period 1996-2004. Using microdata, the Certi¯cate of Deposit(CD) market...

En este trabajo se calcula un nivel de equilibrio para los Activos Externos Netos de Colombia (AEN), y se estudian sus implicaciones sobre el Tipo de Cambio Real (TCR). Para determinar el nivel de equilibrio de AEN, se estima un vector de cointegración con un panel de efectos fijos ajustado por...

This paper examines trends in banknote printing during the period 2000-2005 for a crosssection of 56 central banks. Because of the high increase in the demand for currency in recent years, central banks have implemented new strategies to increase efficiency in the production of banknotes. Some...

A partir de un esquema de oferta y demanda de dinero se estimó un modelo de relaciones de corto y largo plazo entre cinco variables:base monetaria, dinero (M1), tasa de interés, producto y nivel de precios al consumidor (cifras trimestrales desde 1984:I hasta 2003:IV).El modelo es del tipo...