González, Eliana; Melo, . Luis F.; Monroy, Viviana; … - Banco de la Republica de Colombia
We use a dynamic factor model proposed by Stock and Watson [1998, 1999, 2002a,b] to forecast Colombian inflation. The model includes 92 monthly series observed over the period 1999:01-2008:06. The results show that for short-run horizons, factor model forecasts significantly outperformed the...