Showing 1 - 10 of 88
Since 1991, inflation in Colombia was reduced from 25% on average to about 6% more recently. Although this performance … is in line with a long run inflation target of 3%, some analysts ask whether the Central Bank should continue … disinflating. In this paper we present a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of inflation targeting for a small open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113958
Evidence of the causal long-term relationship between budget deficit, money growth and inflation in Colombia is … relationship between inflation and money growth on the one hand, and between money growth and fiscal deficit, on the other. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005274432
In this paper we study the effect of monetary policy shocks on commodity prices. While most of the literature has found that expansionary shocks have a positive effect on aggregate price indices, we study the effect on individual prices of a sample of four commodities. This set of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009404551
This work analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices. According to Frankel’s hypothesis (1986-2006): "low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices". However, some empirical evidence suggests that commodity prices can predict monetary policy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542684
" shocks and core inflation indicators sent diverging signals about the transmission of those shocks to macroeconomic inflation … state of the economy. Regarding the second episode, an evaluation of core inflation indicators according to standard … pressures should not rely only on one or few core inflation indicators, since some signals could be picked by some measures and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783896
En este documento se presenta un índice de precios de vivienda nueva ajustado por cambios en la calidad de los inmuebles para la ciudad de Bogotá. Para ello se utilizó la base de datos de La Galería Inmobiliaria para el período 2003-2013. El indicador se construyó utilizando el modelo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906100
This paper explores the relationship between central bank independence and inflation in Latin America, using as a case … recovered its independence and its focus on price stability. Inflation varied substantially during these subperiods. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014560
En este documento se desarrolla una exploración empírica sobre la información contenida en las expectativas de inflación obtenidas tanto directa (a través de encuestas) como indirectamente (implícitas en el mercado de deuda pública). Para esto, se realizan pruebas de insesgamiento y...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010540958
Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of … technique for series integrated of order one. The empirical results of Colombian inflation show that the Bayesian forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548325
Se documenta el traspaso de los precios internacionales de alimentos y energía a un número importante de precios de las canastas del consumidor y del productor, la inflación básica y las expectativas para los últimos veinte años en Colombia. Se estiman efectos de primera y segunda ronda...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550998