This paper evaluates the effects of capital account controls adopted in the past years by the FLAR’s member countries (Bolivia, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Perú and Venezuela) on the efficiency of the banking sector, the economic growth and the volatility of output, consumption, and...

In Colombia, the exposition to market risk has increased significantly since 2009. Nonetheless, the risk codependence among agents has not been analyzed yet from the perspective of this risk. Therefore, this paper presents an approach to estimate such relevance based on CoVaR and quantile...

Bajo el supuesto de que una serie de retornos es independiente e idénticamente distribuida (IID), la dimensión temporal del riesgo es irrelevante. De esta forma, la volatilidad calculada sobre un intervalo de tiempo (e.g. mensual) puede ser estimada a partir de la calculada sobre otro...

En este trabajo se brindan elementos adicionales en la comprensión de la dinámica de la tasa de cambio en Colombia. Por una parte, se analiza la información de una encuesta dirigida a los agentes del mercado cambiario; en ella se resalta la diferencia que exhiben los agentes en torno a los...

In a dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium model,we explore the optimal response of the inhabitans of a closed economy to an inefficient ad hoc financial system that in its intermediation duty looses a fraction of aggregate savings which otherwise would become aggregate investment. The...

In this paper we check the relationschip between the yields of the Colombian bonds traded in the (secondary) internal market and the yields of the sovereign global securities for the sample period 1999-2001. The hypothesis we maintain is that, under the assumption of capital mobility, it should...

This work analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices. According to Frankel’s hypothesis (1986-2006): "low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices". However, some empirical evidence suggests that commodity prices can predict monetary policy. In...

En el presente trabajo se muestra evidencia para rechazar la Hipótesis de Mercado Eficiente (HME) a través de la anomalía efecto día (day effect). Se utilizan dos aproximaciones: la primera, bajo el supuesto de normalidad, estima un modelo lineal que corrobora los hallazgos de estudios...

We present an investment process that: (i) decomposes securities into risk factors; (ii) allows for the construction of portfolios of assets that would selectively expose the manager to desired risk factors; (iii) perform a risk allocation between these portfolios, allowing for tracking error...