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Since 1991, inflation in Colombia was reduced from 25% on average to about 6% more recently. Although this performance … is in line with a long run inflation target of 3%, some analysts ask whether the Central Bank should continue … disinflating. In this paper we present a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of inflation targeting for a small open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113958
" shocks and core inflation indicators sent diverging signals about the transmission of those shocks to macroeconomic inflation … state of the economy. Regarding the second episode, an evaluation of core inflation indicators according to standard … pressures should not rely only on one or few core inflation indicators, since some signals could be picked by some measures and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783896
This paper investigates the possible responses of an inflation-targeting monetary policy in the face of asset price … responds directly to asset price of housing than a policy that reacts only to deviations of expected inflation (CPI) from … target. Some prudential regulation may provide a better outcome in terms of output and inflation variability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113971
En este documento se utiliza la información proveniente de las encuestas de expectativas económicas a los empresarios para comprobar si el efecto de la política monetaria difiere entre empresas grandes y pequeñas. La metodología econométrica se basa en los modelos de vectores...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010558572
Bajo un régimen No-Ricardiano o de dominancia fiscal, el banco central pierde autonomía en el control de la inflación, especialmente en circunstancias de insostenibilidad de las finanzas públicas. En este trabajo se evalúa la presencia de un régimen de esta naturaleza en la economía...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783905
Empleando un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico y estocástico para una economía pequeña y abierta con imperfecciones y rigideces en el sector no transable calibrado para Colombia, se estudia la conveniencia de que la autoridad monetaria fije como medida de inflación objetivo en su...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113933
that commodity prices overshoot their long run equilibrium in response to a contractionary shock in the US monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009404551
This work analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices. According to Frankel’s hypothesis (1986-2006): "low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices". However, some empirical evidence suggests that commodity prices can predict monetary policy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542684
The objective of this paper is to analyze how international cycles affect the real GDP cycle and so monetary policy decisions in Colombia. We estimate that cycles in world GDP, export prices and capital inflows are strongly associated with the Colombian business cycle both on impact and even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650576
In this document we lay out the microeconomic foundations of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model designed to forecast and to advice monetary policy authorities in Colombia. The model is called Policy Analysis Tool Applied to Colombian Needs (PATACON). In companion documents we present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021427