Showing 1 - 10 of 22
In this paper we explore the role that exchange rate interventions may play in determining inflation expectations in … Chile. To that end, we consider a set of nine deciles of inflation expectations coming from the survey of professional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849792
Well anchored inflation expectations are considered to be a reflection of credible monetary policy. In the past …, anchoring has been assessed using either long-run inflation surveys or break-even inflation rates on financial assets with long … maturities. But neither of these is ideal. Here we propose an alternative measure of inflation anchoring that makes full use of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929857
Monetary economics as practiced by central bank modelers has made a great deal of progress in recent years. In a 2002 paper I interviewed research economists at four central banks and surveyed the models in use at those banks. I criticized the models for having lost all touch with statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552000
We provide new insights on the formation of inflation expectations - in particular at a time of great financial and … answered a weekly questionnaire about their short-, medium- and long-term inflation expectations. Participants received common … information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009195369
-varying inflation uncertainty. Empirical difficulties in the estimation and evaluation of macro-finance models are also discussed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005121425
This paper reviews the role of long-term interest rates in international monetary transmission and related policy challenges in the wake of exceptionally easy US monetary policy. It employs a panel VAR model to examine the impact of a very low US term premium on relatively small open Asian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011106746
increases in China for global inflation pressures are also discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849800
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses … all relevant information, is available in real-time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation … measures such as core inflation measures. This paper presents the "Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) Staff Underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886770
The headline consumer price inflation (CPI) is often considered too noisy, narrowly defined, and/or slowly available … for policymaking. On the other hand, traditional core inflation measures may reduce volatility but do not address other … issues and may even exclude important information. This paper develops a new underlying inflation gauge (UIG) for China which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929854
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157613