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increases in China for global inflation pressures are also discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849800
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses … all relevant information, is available in real-time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation … measures such as core inflation measures. This paper presents the "Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) Staff Underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886770
The headline consumer price inflation (CPI) is often considered too noisy, narrowly defined, and/or slowly available … for policymaking. On the other hand, traditional core inflation measures may reduce volatility but do not address other … issues and may even exclude important information. This paper develops a new underlying inflation gauge (UIG) for China which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929854
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157613
. Thus, financial repression is most successful in liquidating debts when accompanied by a steady dose of inflation …. Inflation need not take market participants entirely by surprise and, in effect, it need not be very high (by historic standards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395208
Since the start of the financial crisis, industrial country public debt levels have increased dramatically. And they are set to continue rising for the foreseeable future. A number of countries face the prospect of large and rising future costs related to the ageing of their populations. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503113
are clearly present and explain around 24% of inflation differentials vis-à-vis the euro area (about 1.2 percentage points … total domestic inflation (about 1.1 percentage points on average). The paper presents mixed evidence on whether the Balassa …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005127724
This paper reviews the challenges faced by central banks in recent years in order to evaluate their policy implications going forward. To highlight the genuine uncertainty surrounding the lessons to be drawn, the paper examines recent experience through two intentionally polarised perspectives,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005127732
Economists on "The evolving inflation process" which the BIS hosted on 28-29 October 2005. The paper first discusses efforts to … document the univariate statistical properties of inflation and how they have changed over the last decades. It then reviews … studies of disaggregated or micro inflation data and evidence from surveys of firms concerning their pricing behaviour. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063332
inflation at different time horizons or frequency bands. The ECB has publicly supported this understanding of the framework …. This paper presents further evidence on the behaviour of euro area inflation using band spectrum regressions, which allow … frequency domain. The main finding is that variations in inflation are well explained by low-frequency movements of money and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063342