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. Thus, financial repression is most successful in liquidating debts when accompanied by a steady dose of inflation …. Inflation need not take market participants entirely by surprise and, in effect, it need not be very high (by historic standards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395208
Since the start of the financial crisis, industrial country public debt levels have increased dramatically. And they are set to continue rising for the foreseeable future. A number of countries face the prospect of large and rising future costs related to the ageing of their populations. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503113
At moderate levels, debt improves welfare and enhances growth. But high levels can be damaging. When does debt go from good to bad? We address this question using a new dataset that includes the level of government, non-financial corporate and household debt in 18 OECD countries from 1980 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320021
that private sector deleveraging during a downturn helps to induce a stronger recovery. Both results hold even after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849783
There is considerable controversy over why sluggish economic growth persists across many advanced economies six years after the onset of the financial crisis. Theories include a secular deficiency in aggregate demand, slowing innovation, adverse demographics, lingering policy uncertainty,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123577
between deleveraging and the speed of recovery does not seem to arise due to limited data. In fact, our data shows that … faster recoveries. Our results contradict the current consensus that private sector deleveraging is necessarily harmful for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010680831
increases in China for global inflation pressures are also discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849800
Several countries are concurrently experiencing historically low inflation rates and ageing populations. Is there a …-frequency inflation. In particular, a larger share of dependents (ie young and old) is correlated with higher inflation, while a larger … share of working age cohorts is correlated with lower inflation. The results are robust to different country samples, time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166900
The headline consumer price inflation (CPI) is often considered too noisy, narrowly defined, and/or slowly available … for policymaking. On the other hand, traditional core inflation measures may reduce volatility but do not address other … issues and may even exclude important information. This paper develops a new underlying inflation gauge (UIG) for China which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929854
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses … all relevant information, is available in real-time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation … measures such as core inflation measures. This paper presents the "Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) Staff Underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886770