Showing 1 - 10 of 19
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157613
There has been mounting evidence that the inflation process has been changing. Inflation is now much lower and much … more effective. There is no doubt in our mind that this explanation goes a long way towards explaining the better inflation …. We argue that prevailing models of inflation are too "country-centric", in the sense that they fail to take sufficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005121439
A popular strategy for estimating output gaps is to anchor them to structural economic relationships. The resulting output gaps, however, are often highly sensitive to numerous auxiliary assumptions inherent in the approach. This complicates their use in policymaking. We illustrate the point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849797
We provide a robustness check of the US Phillips curve in the frequency domain. We design frequency-specific coeffcients of correlation (FSCC) and regression (FSCR), based on our frequency-specific data extraction procedure. Being real-valued, signed and normalised, the FSCC is superior to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063338
similar and appear to co-move with inflation. Standards Phillips curves, however, do not fit the data well. This may reflect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005121417
increases in China for global inflation pressures are also discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849800
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses … all relevant information, is available in real-time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation … measures such as core inflation measures. This paper presents the "Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) Staff Underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886770
The headline consumer price inflation (CPI) is often considered too noisy, narrowly defined, and/or slowly available … for policymaking. On the other hand, traditional core inflation measures may reduce volatility but do not address other … issues and may even exclude important information. This paper develops a new underlying inflation gauge (UIG) for China which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929854
. Thus, financial repression is most successful in liquidating debts when accompanied by a steady dose of inflation …. Inflation need not take market participants entirely by surprise and, in effect, it need not be very high (by historic standards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395208
Since the start of the financial crisis, industrial country public debt levels have increased dramatically. And they are set to continue rising for the foreseeable future. A number of countries face the prospect of large and rising future costs related to the ageing of their populations. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503113