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This paper reviews the challenges faced by central banks in recent years in order to evaluate their policy implications going forward. To highlight the genuine uncertainty surrounding the lessons to be drawn, the paper examines recent experience through two intentionally polarised perspectives,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005127732
. Thus, financial repression is most successful in liquidating debts when accompanied by a steady dose of inflation …. Inflation need not take market participants entirely by surprise and, in effect, it need not be very high (by historic standards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395208
Since the start of the financial crisis, industrial country public debt levels have increased dramatically. And they are set to continue rising for the foreseeable future. A number of countries face the prospect of large and rising future costs related to the ageing of their populations. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503113
Following the experience of the global financial crisis, central banks have been asked to undertake unprecedented responsibilities. Governments and the public appear to have high expectations that monetary policy can provide solutions to problems that do not necessarily fit in the realm of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849791
against the background of low and stable inflation, posing a potential threat to financial and macroeconomic stability. This … imbalances would normally develop alongside rising inflation. This puts a premium on a strengthening of the macroprudential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005127752
The establishment of independent authorities for monetary policy and for competition policy was part of the institutional consensus of the Great Moderation. The paper contrasts how policy has operated in the two spheres, especially as regards the role of law. It then discusses the application of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008763375
Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses … all relevant information, is available in real-time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation … measures such as core inflation measures. This paper presents the "Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) Staff Underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886770
The headline consumer price inflation (CPI) is often considered too noisy, narrowly defined, and/or slowly available … for policymaking. On the other hand, traditional core inflation measures may reduce volatility but do not address other … issues and may even exclude important information. This paper develops a new underlying inflation gauge (UIG) for China which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929854
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157613
Economists on "The evolving inflation process" which the BIS hosted on 28-29 October 2005. The paper first discusses efforts to … document the univariate statistical properties of inflation and how they have changed over the last decades. It then reviews … studies of disaggregated or micro inflation data and evidence from surveys of firms concerning their pricing behaviour. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063332