Showing 1 - 10 of 401
This paper analyzes the optimal use of fiscal policy and sovereign debt repayment as signals in an asymmetric information environment. It shows that the presence of government private information could turn an optimal full-information countercyclical fiscal policy into a pro-cyclical one that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069213
example, can make the effect of a traded-goods productivity improvement on the real exchange rate negative or positive, as … on the relationship between productivity and the real exchange rate. -- Exchange rates ; Productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933283
example, can make the effect of a traded-goods productivity improvement on the real exchange rate negative or positive, as … on the relationship between productivity and the real exchange rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004976803
In spite of the concerns about “twin deficits†(fiscal and current account deficits) for the U.S., empirical evidence suggests that “twin divergence†is a more regular feature of the data: when the fiscal accounts worsen, the current account improves and vice versa. We thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069483
This report provides a detailed technical description of an updated version of the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM II), which replaced ToTEM (Murchison and Rennison 2006) in June 2011 as the Bank of Canada’s quarterly projection model for Canada. ToTEM has been improved along a number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010849975
The authors provide a detailed technical description of the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM), which replaced the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) in December 2005 as the Bank's principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy. ToTEM is an open-economy, dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162371
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051337
realistic parameter values, the model generates a blip in inflation of the same magnitude observed in the data"--Federal Reserve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521760
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051326
Shifts in the underlying growth rate of productivity, such as occurred in the 1970s and the 1990s, are relatively rare … and difficult to identify in real time. In this paper, we document that economists' projections of trend productivity … simple updating rule based on an estimated Kalman filter model. We then examine the effects of shifts in trend productivity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069533