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Recent proposals to expand the Child Tax Credit (CTC) are at the center of current policy discussions in the United States. We study the fiscal cost of three such proposals that would expand refundability of the credit to low-income children, increase the maximum credit amount, and/or eliminate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660020
gubernatorial elections, we find partisan differences in the marginal propensity to spend federal transfers since the early 1980's …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482641
This note shows that the aggregate fiscal expenditure stimulus in the United States, properly adjusted for the declining fiscal expenditure of the fifty states, was close to zero in 2009. While the Federal government stimulus prevented a net decline in aggregate fiscal expenditure, it did not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462868
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models that include policy rules for government spending, lump-sum transfers … debt. Third, based on estimated policy rules, transfers, capital tax rates, and government spending have historically … condition linking debt to expected discounted surpluses---transfers, spending, tax revenues, and discount factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463489
We use rich historical data on military procurement spending across U.S. regions to estimate the effects of government spending in a monetary union. Aggregate military build-ups and draw- downs have differential effects across regions. We use this variation to estimate an "open economy relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461267
We analyze whether government spending multipliers differ by the sign of the shock. Using aggregate historical U.S. data, we apply Ben Zeev's (2020) nonlinear diagnostic tests and find evidence of nonlinearities in the impulse response functions of both government spending and GDP. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247936
We use an instrumental-variables estimator reliant on variation in congressional representation to analyze the effects of federal aid to state and local governments across all four major pieces of COVID-19 response legislation. Through September 2021, we estimate that the federal government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334387
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013480824
We link detailed data on defense spending, wages, hours, employment, establishments, and GDP across U.S. cities to study the effects of fiscal stimulus. Our small-open-economy empirical setting permits us to estimate key macroeconomic outcomes and elasticities, including the responses of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480310
responsibility for welfare transfers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470920