Showing 1 - 10 of 159
This paper compares the performance of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price-level path targeting (PLPT) rules to … preferred to IT for delivering macroeconomic stability, as it delivers a reduction in inflation and nominal interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808349
inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933293
A sequential Monte Carlo method for estimating GARCH models subject to an unknown number of structural breaks is proposed. Particle filtering techniques allow for fast and efficient updates of posterior quantities and forecasts in real time. The method conveniently deals with the path dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933353
The stochastic simulation model suggested by Bolder (2003) for the analysis of the federal government's debt-management strategy provides a wide variety of useful information. It does not, however, assist in determining an optimal debt-management strategy for the government in its current form....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673352
Real wage rigidities have recently been proposed as a way of building intrinsic persistence in inflation within the … and inflation in the New Keynesian Phillips curve. From a methodological perspective, these results derive from our … Curves hold promise empirically and provide interesting research directions. -- Inflation and prices ; Labour markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933276
Real wage rigidities have recently been proposed as a way of building intrinsic persistence in inflation within the … and inflation in the New Keynesian Phillips curve. From a methodological perspective, these results derive from our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005039601
The authors address empirically the implications of structural breaks in the variance-covariance matrix of inflation …) framework as the response of domestic inflation to an impulse in import price inflation. This approach allows them to examine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808319
explain the poor quality of recent inflation forecasts based on the conventional Phillips curve. Among the various … explanations we consider for the persistent underestimation of inflation, the one that emerges most clearly from our findings is … that the process by which inflation expectations are formed has changed in recent years. Shifts in expectations appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162423
relative prices, ri, as described on page 8, is not invariant to the rate of inflation and this introduces a bias in favour of … short-run movements in inflation should be positively related to the skewness and the variance of the distribution of … predictions that arise from the menu-cost models. Indeed, we find that the positive relationship between inflation and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162448
of inflation equations based on generalized structural Calvo-type models. The models allow for different forms of …. The results show that there is some statistical merit to using indexation-based Calvo-type models for inflation. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162467