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bound is relatively low, especially if the inflation target established for the monetary authority is 2 per cent or more … rate for lower inflation targets. Various caveats apply to drawing conclusions for Canada from the papers we surveyed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162504
inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933293
The purpose ot this study is to test the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty increases at higher levels of inflation … conditional variance of the error term to be time-varying. Since this variance is a proxy for inflation uncertainty, a positive … relationship between the conditional variance and inflation would be interpreted as evidence that inflation uncertainty increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808350
This paper examines the performance of M1 in an indicator model of inflation over time horizons as long as 16 quarters … the deviations of M1 from its long-run path provide "distant-early-warning" information about the future path of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005536886
This paper surveys the empirical literature on the benefits of low inflation emphasizing contributions since 1990. It … at the costs of inflation, or the benefits of price stability, in the context of four themes: inflation creates … uncertainty about the future; there are costs of having to cope with inflation; inflation affects equity and fairness; and 'living …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673238
A vector error-correction Model (VECM) that Forecasts inflation between the current quarter and eight quarters ahead is … found to privide significant leading information about inflation. The model focusses on th effects of deviations of M1 from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673307
The Bank of Canada Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM) is used to examine the effect of various types of discretionary fiscal policies on different regions of the globe. The BoC-GEM is a microfounded dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium global model with six regions, multiple sectors, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631206
The first step in designing effective policies to stabilize an economy is to understand business cycles. No country is isolated from the world economy and external shocks are becoming increasingly important. The author documents the sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in 22 emerging-market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808287
Canadian monetary policy. If, for example, the Bank of Canada is using interest rates to target an inflation rate of 2 per cent … and there is an 8-quarter lag in the effect of the interest rate on inflation, then deviations of inflation from 2 per … quarters. This would imply that empirical causality tests of monetary policy on inflation could be very misleading. Our test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808298
points in the unionized private sector during the low-inflation period of the 1990s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808314