Showing 1 - 10 of 112
Understanding the nature of credit risk has important implications for financial stability. Since authorities notably … difficulty lies in finding reliable measures of aggregate credit risk in the economy, as opposed to firmlevel credit risk. In … the type of risk priced in corporate bonds (i.e., credit or liquidity risk). However, although the two models provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003933233
Using the prices of crude oil futures contracts, we construct the term structure of crude oil convenience yields out to one-year maturity. The crude oil convenience yield can be interpreted as the interest rate, denominated in barrels of oil, for borrowing a single barrel of oil, and it measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960394
Expected returns vary when investors face time-varying investment opportunities. Longrun risk models (Bansal and Yaron … 2004) and no-arbitrage affine models (Duffie, Pan, and Singleton 2000) emphasize sources of risk that are not observable to … the econometrician. We show that, for both classes of models, the term structure of risk implicit in option prices can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548355
monetary policy rule and risk premium. I study the information content of key policy announcements in the period from the end …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010598589
Understanding the nature of credit risk has important implications for financial stability. Since authorities … difficulty lies in finding reliable measures of aggregate credit risk in the economy, as opposed to firmlevel credit risk. In … the type of risk priced in corporate bonds (i.e., credit or liquidity risk). However, although the two models provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549271
Many studies have documented that daily realized volatility estimates based on intraday returns provide volatility forecasts that are superior to forecasts constructed from daily returns only. We investigate whether these forecasting improvements translate into economic value added. To do so we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575969
We study the formation of price bubbles on experimental asset markets where cash earns interest. There are two main conclusions. The first is that paying positive interest on cash is ineffective in diminishing bubbles through the reducing-active-participation channel. The second is that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765999
fit for both the historical and the risk-neutral distribution of returns, compared to existing affine generalized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352264
risk to obtain plausible decompositions of forward curves. The forecasts of interest rates and exchange rates from the … international term and foreign exchange risk premia as well as expected exchange rate changes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493657
The author describes the construction of the U.S.-dollar-denominated zero-coupon curve for the supranational asset class from 1995 to 2010. He uses yield data from a cross-section of bonds issued by AAA-rated supranational entities to fit the Svensson (1995) term-structure model. Results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551096